Poisson Regression in Excel with Unistat
The Unistat statistics add-in extends Excel with Poisson Regression capabilities.
Further documentation is available at section 7.2.8 of the manual, Poisson Regression.
Sample output
Here we provide annotated example report output from the Unistat Excel statistics add-in for data analysis.
Poisson Regression
Regression Results
Valid Number of Cases: 22, 0 Omitted
Dependent Variable: Number of cancers
Exposure: Subject-years
| Coefficient | Standard Error | Wald Statistic | Significance | Lower 95% | Upper 95% |
| Constant | -9.3284 | 0.2086 | 1999.7803 | 0.0000 | -9.7372 | -8.9195 |
| Status = Non-veteran | 0.0035 | 0.0555 | 0.0040 | 0.9493 | -0.1052 | 0.1123 |
| Age group = 25-29 | 0.6793 | 0.2325 | 8.5373 | 0.0035 | 0.2236 | 1.1350 |
| 30-34 | 1.3711 | 0.2177 | 39.6626 | 0.0000 | 0.9444 | 1.7978 |
| 35-39 | 1.9396 | 0.2121 | 83.6581 | 0.0000 | 1.5240 | 2.3553 |
| 40-44 | 2.0343 | 0.2161 | 88.6203 | 0.0000 | 1.6108 | 2.4579 |
| 45-49 | 2.7266 | 0.2222 | 150.5415 | 0.0000 | 2.2910 | 3.1621 |
| 50-54 | 3.2029 | 0.2206 | 210.7122 | 0.0000 | 2.7704 | 3.6353 |
| 55-59 | 3.7162 | 0.2178 | 291.1925 | 0.0000 | 3.2894 | 4.1430 |
| 60-64 | 4.0927 | 0.2177 | 353.4848 | 0.0000 | 3.6660 | 4.5193 |
| 65-69 | 4.2362 | 0.2242 | 356.9375 | 0.0000 | 3.7967 | 4.6757 |
| 70- | 4.3637 | 0.2274 | 368.3264 | 0.0000 | 3.9181 | 4.8094 |
| -2 Log likelihood: |
| Initial Model | 2199.7137 |
| Final Model | 132.0133 |
| Likelihood Ratio Statistic: |
| Chi-Square Statistic | 2067.7004 |
| Degrees of Freedom | 11 |
| Right-Tail Probability | 0.0000 |
| Goodness of Fit: |
| Chi-Square Statistic | 5.2166 |
| Degrees of Freedom | 9 |
| Right-Tail Probability | 0.8150 |
Incidence Rate Ratio
| Incidence Rate Ratio | Standard Error | Lower 95% | Upper 95% |
| Status = Non-veteran | 1.0035 | 0.0557 | 0.9001 | 1.1188 |
| Age group = 25-29 | 1.9725 | 0.4586 | 1.2506 | 3.1111 |
| 30-34 | 3.9396 | 0.8577 | 2.5712 | 6.0363 |
| 35-39 | 6.9561 | 1.4751 | 4.5905 | 10.5408 |
| 40-44 | 7.6471 | 1.6525 | 5.0067 | 11.6799 |
| 45-49 | 15.2801 | 3.3956 | 9.8849 | 23.6201 |
| 50-54 | 24.6031 | 5.4286 | 15.9653 | 37.9144 |
| 55-59 | 41.1074 | 8.9521 | 26.8256 | 62.9926 |
| 60-64 | 59.9000 | 13.0391 | 39.0963 | 91.7736 |
| 65-69 | 69.1453 | 15.5040 | 44.5557 | 107.3055 |
| 70- | 78.5486 | 17.8599 | 50.3034 | 122.6533 |
Correlation Matrix of Regression Coefficients
| Constant | Status = Non-veteran | Age group = 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 |
| Constant | 1.0000 | -0.2060 | -0.8648 | -0.9241 | -0.9499 | -0.9362 | -0.9098 | -0.9133 |
| Status = Non-veteran | -0.2060 | 1.0000 | 0.0274 | 0.0319 | 0.0387 | 0.0575 | 0.0532 | 0.0388 |
| Age group = 25-29 | -0.8648 | 0.0274 | 1.0000 | 0.8241 | 0.8462 | 0.8309 | 0.8079 | 0.8133 |
| 30-34 | -0.9241 | 0.0319 | 0.8241 | 1.0000 | 0.9037 | 0.8875 | 0.8629 | 0.8686 |
| 35-39 | -0.9499 | 0.0387 | 0.8462 | 0.9037 | 1.0000 | 0.9115 | 0.8862 | 0.8920 |
| 40-44 | -0.9362 | 0.0575 | 0.8309 | 0.8875 | 0.9115 | 1.0000 | 0.8707 | 0.8761 |
| 45-49 | -0.9098 | 0.0532 | 0.8079 | 0.8629 | 0.8862 | 0.8707 | 1.0000 | 0.8518 |
| 50-54 | -0.9133 | 0.0388 | 0.8133 | 0.8686 | 0.8920 | 0.8761 | 0.8518 | 1.0000 |
| 55-59 | -0.9205 | 0.0159 | 0.8234 | 0.8793 | 0.9028 | 0.8863 | 0.8618 | 0.8678 |
| 60-64 | -0.9156 | -0.0096 | 0.8230 | 0.8789 | 0.9022 | 0.8852 | 0.8608 | 0.8671 |
| 65-69 | -0.8836 | -0.0353 | 0.7983 | 0.8524 | 0.8749 | 0.8579 | 0.8343 | 0.8408 |
| 70- | -0.8681 | -0.0504 | 0.7868 | 0.8401 | 0.8622 | 0.8451 | 0.8220 | 0.8286 |
| 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70- |
| Constant | -0.9205 | -0.9156 | -0.8836 | -0.8681 |
| Status = Non-veteran | 0.0159 | -0.0096 | -0.0353 | -0.0504 |
| Age group = 25-29 | 0.8234 | 0.8230 | 0.7983 | 0.7868 |
| 30-34 | 0.8793 | 0.8789 | 0.8524 | 0.8401 |
| 35-39 | 0.9028 | 0.9022 | 0.8749 | 0.8622 |
| 40-44 | 0.8863 | 0.8852 | 0.8579 | 0.8451 |
| 45-49 | 0.8618 | 0.8608 | 0.8343 | 0.8220 |
| 50-54 | 0.8678 | 0.8671 | 0.8408 | 0.8286 |
| 55-59 | 1.0000 | 0.8788 | 0.8527 | 0.8407 |
| 60-64 | 0.8788 | 1.0000 | 0.8540 | 0.8423 |
| 65-69 | 0.8527 | 0.8540 | 1.0000 | 0.8190 |
| 70- | 0.8407 | 0.8423 | 0.8190 | 1.0000 |
Covariance Matrix of Regression Coefficients
| Constant | Status = Non-veteran | Age group = 25-29 | 30-34 | 35-39 | 40-44 | 45-49 | 50-54 |
| Constant | 0.0435 | -0.0024 | -0.0419 | -0.0420 | -0.0420 | -0.0422 | -0.0422 | -0.0420 |
| Status = Non-veteran | -0.0024 | 0.0031 | 0.0004 | 0.0004 | 0.0005 | 0.0007 | 0.0007 | 0.0005 |
| Age group = 25-29 | -0.0419 | 0.0004 | 0.0541 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 |
| 30-34 | -0.0420 | 0.0004 | 0.0417 | 0.0474 | 0.0417 | 0.0418 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 |
| 35-39 | -0.0420 | 0.0005 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0450 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0417 |
| 40-44 | -0.0422 | 0.0007 | 0.0417 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0467 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 |
| 45-49 | -0.0422 | 0.0007 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0494 | 0.0418 |
| 50-54 | -0.0420 | 0.0005 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0418 | 0.0418 | 0.0487 |
| 55-59 | -0.0418 | 0.0002 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 |
| 60-64 | -0.0416 | -0.0001 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 65-69 | -0.0413 | -0.0004 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 70- | -0.0412 | -0.0006 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0415 | 0.0415 | 0.0416 |
| 55-59 | 60-64 | 65-69 | 70- |
| Constant | -0.0418 | -0.0416 | -0.0413 | -0.0412 |
| Status = Non-veteran | 0.0002 | -0.0001 | -0.0004 | -0.0006 |
| Age group = 25-29 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 30-34 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 35-39 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 40-44 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0415 |
| 45-49 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0415 |
| 50-54 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 55-59 | 0.0474 | 0.0417 | 0.0416 | 0.0416 |
| 60-64 | 0.0417 | 0.0474 | 0.0417 | 0.0417 |
| 65-69 | 0.0416 | 0.0417 | 0.0503 | 0.0418 |
| 70- | 0.0416 | 0.0417 | 0.0418 | 0.0517 |
Actual and Fitted Values
| Row | Actual * | Fitted + | 1.9057 193.7020 |
| 1 | 6.0000 | 5.4067 | * |
| 2 | 21.0000 | 27.5518 | * + |
| 3 | 54.0000 | 61.6656 | * + |
| 4 | 118.0000 | 115.2981 | +* |
| 5 | 97.0000 | 92.0660 | +* |
| 6 | 58.0000 | 57.8741 | * |
| 7 | 56.0000 | 54.6629 | +* |
| 8 | 54.0000 | 50.0844 | +* |
| 9 | 34.0000 | 32.8068 | * |
| 10 | 9.0000 | 9.6781 | * |
| 11 | 2.0000 | 1.9057 | * |
| 12 | 18.0000 | 18.5933 | * |
| 13 | 60.0000 | 53.4481 | + * |
| 14 | 122.0000 | 114.3345 | + * |
| 15 | 191.0000 | 193.7020 | *+ |
| 16 | 108.0000 | 112.9340 | *+ |
| 17 | 74.0000 | 74.1259 | * |
| 18 | 88.0000 | 89.3372 | *+ |
| 19 | 120.0000 | 123.9157 | * + |
| 20 | 141.0000 | 142.1933 | * |
| 21 | 108.0000 | 107.3219 | +* |
| 22 | 99.0000 | 99.0944 | * |
Residuals
| Row | Residuals | -7.6656 7.6656 |
| 1 | 0.5933 | * |
| 2 | -6.5518 | * |
| 3 | -7.6656 | * |
| 4 | 2.7019 | * |
| 5 | 4.9340 | * |
| 6 | 0.1259 | * |
| 7 | 1.3371 | * |
| 8 | 3.9156 | * |
| 9 | 1.1932 | * |
| 10 | -0.6781 | * |
| 11 | 0.0943 | * |
| 12 | -0.5933 | * |
| 13 | 6.5519 | * |
| 14 | 7.6655 | * |
| 15 | -2.7020 | * |
| 16 | -4.9340 | * |
| 17 | -0.1259 | * |
| 18 | -1.3372 | * |
| 19 | -3.9157 | * |
| 20 | -1.1933 | * |
| 21 | 0.6781 | * |
| 22 | -0.0944 | * |
Case (Diagnostic) Statistics
| Row | Fitted Values | Standard Error of Fitted | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Deviance | Residuals | Standardised Residuals |
| 1 | 5.4067 | 0.2086 | 4.9979 | 5.8156 | 0.0628 | 0.5933 | 0.2551 |
| 2 | 27.5518 | 0.1170 | 27.3225 | 27.7811 | 1.6987 | -6.5518 | -1.2482 |
| 3 | 61.6656 | 0.0836 | 61.5018 | 61.8293 | 0.9950 | -7.6656 | -0.9762 |
| 4 | 115.2981 | 0.0667 | 115.1674 | 115.4288 | 0.0628 | 2.7019 | 0.2516 |
| 5 | 92.0660 | 0.0762 | 91.9166 | 92.2154 | 0.2598 | 4.9340 | 0.5142 |
| 6 | 57.8741 | 0.0924 | 57.6929 | 58.0553 | 0.0003 | 0.1259 | 0.0165 |
| 7 | 54.6629 | 0.0902 | 54.4862 | 54.8396 | 0.0324 | 1.3371 | 0.1809 |
| 8 | 50.0844 | 0.0855 | 49.9168 | 50.2519 | 0.2984 | 3.9156 | 0.5533 |
| 9 | 32.8068 | 0.0880 | 32.6343 | 32.9793 | 0.0429 | 1.1932 | 0.2083 |
| 10 | 9.6781 | 0.1055 | 9.4712 | 9.8849 | 0.0487 | -0.6781 | -0.2180 |
| 11 | 1.9057 | 0.1134 | 1.6834 | 2.1280 | 0.0046 | 0.0943 | 0.0683 |
| 12 | 18.5933 | 0.2045 | 18.1925 | 18.9941 | 0.0191 | -0.5933 | -0.1376 |
| 13 | 53.4481 | 0.1127 | 53.2272 | 53.6690 | 0.7722 | 6.5519 | 0.8962 |
| 14 | 114.3345 | 0.0778 | 114.1819 | 114.4871 | 0.5028 | 7.6655 | 0.7169 |
| 15 | 193.7020 | 0.0605 | 193.5833 | 193.8206 | 0.0379 | -2.7020 | -0.1941 |
| 16 | 112.9340 | 0.0742 | 112.7887 | 113.0793 | 0.2188 | -4.9340 | -0.4643 |
| 17 | 74.1259 | 0.0904 | 73.9488 | 74.3030 | 0.0002 | -0.1259 | -0.0146 |
| 18 | 89.3372 | 0.0860 | 89.1687 | 89.5056 | 0.0201 | -1.3372 | -0.1415 |
| 19 | 123.9157 | 0.0775 | 123.7638 | 124.0675 | 0.1251 | -3.9157 | -0.3518 |
| 20 | 142.1933 | 0.0763 | 142.0437 | 142.3428 | 0.0100 | -1.1933 | -0.1001 |
| 21 | 107.3219 | 0.0926 | 107.1405 | 107.5034 | 0.0043 | 0.6781 | 0.0655 |
| 22 | 99.0944 | 0.0995 | 98.8993 | 99.2894 | 0.0001 | -0.0944 | -0.0095 |